GPT-5 will surely be better, a lot better than GPT-4. I guarantee that minds will be blown. When it comes out, it will totally eclipse GPT-4. Nonetheless, I have 7 darker predictions.

1. GPT-5 will still, like its predecessors, be a bull in a china shop, reckless and hard to control. It will still make a significant number of shake-your-head stupid errors, in ways that are hard to fully predict. It will often do what you want, sometimes not—and it will remain difficult to anticipate which in advance..
2. Reasoning about physical, psychological and mathematical world will still be unreliable, GPT-5 will solve many of the individual specific items used in prior benchmarks, but still get tripped up, particularly in longer and more complex scenarios.
3. Fluent hallucinations will still be common, and easily induced, continuing—and in in fact escalating— the risk of large language models being used as a tool for creating plausible-sounding yet false misinformation. Guardrails (a la ChatGPT) may be in place, but the guardrails will teeter between being too weak (beaten by “jailbreaks”) and too strong (rejecting some perfectly reasonable requests).